The NFL is 10 weeks through the 2024 season, and only one unbeaten team remains -- the Kansas City Chiefs. There are also some surprise division leaders, including the Arizona Cardinals (NFC West) and Pittsburgh Steelers (AFC North).

Ali Bhanpuri uses the Next Gen Stats playoff probability model to shed light on the 2024 NFL playoff picture. Which team is most likely to unseat the Chiefs atop the AFC? Which division frontrunners are most at risk of losing their leads?

The Monday Night Football game isn’t as sexy with the Miami Dolphins and Los Angeles Rams. AFC playoff picture The Kansas City Chiefs and Denver Broncos went back and forth, and it came down to a field goal with one second left.

The Kansas City Chiefs blocked a field goal as time expired to beat the Denver Broncos on Sunday afternoon and remain undefeated on the year at 9-0. They hold a commanding lead in the AFC West and are on pace to earn the bye in the AFC.

Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen control their destinies in the conference. Plus, the Eagles and Commanders face off Thursday night for the NFC East lead.

The Broncos lost in Week 10, but it wasn't just any loss. What did that do to their status in the power rankings?

I might have guessed that after the team’s latest improbable victory, Week 11’s power rankings would have revealed yet another way to mark the undefeated Kansas City Chiefs down a peg. But instead, the Chiefs rose in three of this week’s rankings — probably because these games are fixed.

Week 11 NFL power rankings have the Kansas City Chiefs climbing up the leaderboard but even at 9-0, the reigning champs still don't top every list.