The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 11 of the 2024 NF

See his other Week 11 football score predictions at SportsLine. In addition, Cohen is picking one team to win by more than three touchdowns, making them a must bet as a favorite. Nailing this result is key to making profitable Week 11 NFL picks.

The New Orleans Saints defense is dreadful against the run, ranked 31st in EPA allowed per carry and 30th in opponent success rate per handoff. New Orleans is 29th in run-stop win rate and allowing 5.1 yards per carry to rival rushers.